Blog

AG MARKET UPDATE: SEPTEMBER 2 – 16

Corn was struggling heading into the USDA report last week but has seen a good 30+ cent bounce from the sub $5.00 lows. The USDA raised their expected yield for corn to 176.3 bu/acre and added 600,000 acres. They also raised the ending stocks with higher yield for what some would consider a bearish report, but the reaction was neutral to bullish following it. As harvest gets going, yield estimates cover a wide range, but it appears that a mid 170s is more and more likely. With no significant weather concerns in the coming weeks, harvest should get off to ...

AG MARKET UPDATE: AUGUST 26 – SEPTEMBER 2

Corn was hit hard this week as we continue to experience the fallout from Ida hitting the export business along with a favorable weather forecast ahead. Exports were better than expected this week coming in at 43 million bushels, which was the highest export total for corn since mid-May. The fallout from Ida will, more than likely, be seen playing out in the cash market.  That said, the longer supply chains are tied up, the bigger effect it will have on the uncertainty of the futures market. As we have mentioned before, South America’s crop is smaller than initially anticipated ...

AG MARKET UPDATE: AUGUST 19-26

Corn was unchanged on the week as slow news, a lack of major export announcements, and no major rain events crossed the area’s most in need. Additionally, most of the corn belt has seen above average temperatures this week keeping a bid under the market. The late season heat and hot nights are taking their toll on the crop but hopefully the heat will end soon according to some forecasts. This time of year, markets begin to look at multiple yield reports coming in from various independent groups – i.e the Pro Farmer Tour (results HERE). At first glance many ...

AG MARKET UPDATE: AUGUST 12-19

Corn fell on the week tied to better than expected rain totals and uninspiring demand news. Weather over this weekend is expected to provide relief in some areas before normal late summer weather returns to much of the corn belt. Exports were good but lagging this week and as we have seen recently we need consistent and strong buying, not just good. Thursday’s strong downturn was commodity wide as all grains and energies struggled. The western corn belt is expected to get rain this weekend - it needs it - as you can see in the drought monitor below. We ...

AG MARKET UPDATE: AUGUST 5 – 12

Corn saw large gains following the USDA report on Thursday before finishing the day well off the highs. The USDA cut expected yield to 174.60 bu/acre from 179.5 in the July report. The USDA also lowered Brazil’s crop yield by 6 million tons to 87 million and some estimates believe it will still be lower than that. The combination of these two yield cuts cut the world ending stocks for the 21/22 year by over 6.5 million tons which shows a slightly lower demand as well. The report this year cut yield expectations much earlier than in the past which ...