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Blog Digest
LEONARD LUMBER REPORT: Futures and cash took different paths last week, but neither blazed a trail
Lumber Weekly Last Week: Futures and cash took different paths last week, but neither blazed a trail. The cautionary flags are out en masse throughout the industry. The time it takes to replenish the system can be measured in days, not weeks. The reason for the quick turnaround lies in the marketing of wood today. […]
AG MARKET UPDATE: AUGUST 21 – SEPTEMBER 1
Corn has been range bound lately looking for anything to give it direction. The heat and dryness currently happening across most of the US is bullish, but the rains and cool weather before may have given this crop enough to weather the heat. There has been some rain added to the forecast but far enough […]
Leonard Lumber Report: The week was mixed as the futures market gave back half of its rally while cash continued higher
Lumber Weekly Last Week: The week was mixed as the futures market gave back half of its rally while cash continued higher. The futures market is in the middle of a rebalancing for the month’s end, so their dynamics are different. What is troublesome in this environment is that while the spread works, the second […]
The Role of Commercials and End Users in the Agriculture Industry: Understanding Price/Volatility Risk and Proactive Risk Management
Introduction The penultimate step of the process for grain is reaching a commercial elevator before going to an end-user to be converted to a final product. These elevators range in size from your local country elevator with little storage capacity to large elevators with millions of bushels capacity. While some producers deliver straight to the […]
Leonard Lumber Report: The futures market had a $39 trading range last week, all up
Lumber Weekly Last Week: The futures market had a $39 trading range last week, all up. Once we crossed the halfway point in August, the short side had to start rolling or exiting. It is usually a two-week process that works well for the spread but does little for the out rights. The difference this […]
AG MARKET UPDATE: AUGUST 4 – 21
Corn had a rough two weeks with the cool and wet weather that covered large areas of the US coming just in time on a stressed crop. The August 11 USDA Report came in with a 175.1 bu/acre US yield, slightly below trade estimates. This yield seems very reasonable with the early drought stress and […]
LEONARD LUMBER REPORT: INCREDIBLE LACK OF MOVEMENT IN THIS MARKET
Lumber Weekly Last Week: The market had a $29 range but only closed 50 cents lower for the week. What is incredible is the lack of movement in this market. I keep searching for the correct equation to find value and have missed that a flat market has no value. Deals aren’t deals in a […]
Transportation & Logistics: The Role of Moving Agricultural Commodities
Introduction While producing crops and other commodities is essential, the transportation industry behind the scenes plays a critical role in getting it where it needs to go on time. Whether by truck, railroad, barges, or large over sea vessels, the transport of raw commodities is how the world is fed. Several commodities must be transported […]
LEONARD LUMBER REPORT: The quest for today’s value remains elusive
Lumber Weekly The quest for today’s value remains elusive. Last Week: The futures markets fell another $19.50 as a weak cash market dominated. The makeup of the trade was the funds selling while the industry bought back shorts or got long. In this part of the cycle, all the focus is on the cash market. […]
AG MARKET UPDATE: JULY 20 – AUGUST 4
As quickly as corn rallied to get back over $5.50, the rains and favorable forecasts for August led it back below $5 just as quickly. The rains in late July provided much needed moisture over much of the corn belt, but as you can see in the drought charts below, varying levels of drought conditions […]