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Blog Digest
THE LEONARD LUMBER REPORT: The futures market ran $95 higher last week and is now up $165 from its lows
Recap: The futures market ran $95 higher last week and is now up $165 from its lows. The cash market also had a good week, rallying $55. It is up almost $90 from its lows. While the previous week’s rally was mostly fund buying this week was very well rounded. My thoughts of a tight […]
AG MARKET UPDATE: JANUARY 13 – 26
Corn made small gains over the last 2 weeks as news was quiet outside of South American weather with China being on holiday for Chinese New Year. Exports were better than expected this week, but Mexico continues to look at increasing their corn imports from Brazil. The forecast for rain in Argentina over the weekend […]
THE LEONARD LUMBER REPORT: The open interest in fund shorts dropped almost 30% for the week
Commentary: The open interest in fund shorts dropped almost 30% for the week. That answers where the robust buying in March came from. It also shows that the funds are outright liquidating. They did abruptly stop buying as of Wednesday dulling the futures trade. Without the fund buying the futures premium to cash comes into […]
AG MARKET UPDATE: DECEMBER 30 – JANUARY 13
Corn finished the week strong following the January USDA report. The report had a mix of bullish and bearish news with the USDA raising the yield estimate to 173.3 bu/acre from 172.3 in November. At the same time they cut total production due to lowered harvested acreage while lowering US and world ending stocks. The […]
The Leonard Lumber Report: The market continued its drift lower as the cash market was silent
Commentary: The market continued its drift lower as the cash market was silent. At this point I think you need to begin the process of determining value. March futures sit at $370. That is the lowest price seen since April of 2020. $370 is not low if you compare it to the last 50 years. […]
Stock market outlook and Tax savings strategies for 2023 with Tim Webb
With every new year, there are new opportunities, and there’s no better time to dive deeply into the stock market and tax-saving strategies for 2023 than now. In our latest episode of the Hedged Edge, we’re joined by Tim Webb, Chief Investment Officer and Managing Partner from our sister company, RCM Wealth Advisors. Tim is […]
LEONARD LUMBER REPORT: 2023 Lumber Market Outlook & Affect on Housing
2023 Lumber Market Outlook & Affect on Housing The following report summarizes today’s lumber industry and housing. I use past data to project future scenarios. What can’t be measured is the buyer attitude, cultural norms, and trends. The data is going to paint a troubling picture while in fact the housing market has tremendous underlying […]
AG MARKET UPDATE: DECEMBER 16 – 30
Corn made gains over the last two weeks with the continued escalation of bombing in Ukraine and more dry weather in Argentina. Exports remain uninspiring as the year comes to a close. China announced they will reduce some travel restrictions while covid infections continue to cause problems and continued lockdowns. Brazil’s expected record crops could […]
Populations are rising and so are food costs – can improved soil conditions save the day? With Russell Taylor of Live Earth Products
With the world population just crossing 8 Billion in November 2022, the details of what it takes to feed the world today and the question of what it will take to feed the world 30 years from now when the population is expected to approach 10 Billion is mind-blowing to many. Today’s guest, Russel Taylor, […]
THE LEONARD LUMBER REPORT: The liquidity issue in the marketplace seems to be getting worse not better
Weekly Lumber Recap 12/18/22 Happy Holidays!! The liquidity issue in the marketplace seems to be getting worse not better. At this point in the cycle, we should start to see a few green shoots. None were to be found last week as futures hit a new low on Friday. The outside markets are having a […]